In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Step 1. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Think of yourself as dead. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Probability is a pure odd. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. But lets think about this some more. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. You have lived your life. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. I think that was exactly Msgr. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Which one's bigger? Were all winners in life without doing anything! He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. One in 2,000. That's 150,000 generations. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Or stalk me (with love.). Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Its maddening to see people worry so much. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. On one try.. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Dr. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Why? Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Wowser. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Something was dropped and then picked up. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Now things start getting interesting. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Is that an African fly or a European one? In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions
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