Bibee was a notable West Coast pitchability prospect for a while, but he never took a step forward at Fullerton and was passed over completely in the shortened 2020 draft. Hence was picked up in the shortened 2020 draft, one of the youngest players taken that year, and in 2021 threw just eight innings on the complex, virtually all in relief. Jeremy Rodriguez, SS, D.R. Hall didnt throw harder in a relief role he was still parked in the 95-97 mph range and in fact his velo keeled off a little bit right at the very end of the season. Kevin Ereu, SS, Ven. Neither his slider nor changeup is fully baked quite yet, but if either (or both) become viable, they would bring with them a higher probability that Priester slots in as a mid-rotation starter. March 1, 2023. But theyre severe enough to dial down the previously plus grades on Rocchios defense and consider him a future average shortstop, while keeping an eye on how he looks there this spring. Hes a well-rounded star and franchise cornerstone. For one, hes a Gold Glove-caliber center field defender, capable of making tough plays look easy and impossible plays possible, especially around the wall. His arm is strong from any angle. Holliday entered the summer ranked as the No. Cappe has a prototypical shortstops build and good feel for contact. He has the strength to do damage the other way, but save for the occasional pitch on the outer edge, hes geared to pull. He spent a year at a JUCO, where he was good but not totally dominant, to the consternation and befuddlement of some scouts. His 2022 line (.263/.339/.459) was solid if unspectacular, though some of the reduction from his performance in 2021 is simply due to exiting the Cal League for the more muted offensive environment in the Northwest. Merrills breaking ball recognition is fantastic and hes adept at making adjustments in the middle of at-bats once hes seen the shape of his opponents pitches. His curveball has a 12-6 shape, and hes deployed the pitch to particularly devastating effect against left-handed opponents; between the two levels, only one lefty has recorded a hit on the curveball. This is mind blowing when you consider that Rafaela has only been playing the outfield for two years. International prospect Thierry Darlan commits to G League Ignite. There are aspects of his swing that are very exciting and consistent with great big league hitters (his raw power and bat speed are uncommon for a shortstop, while his bent-at-the-waist hitting posture is akin to Mike Trouts and Dylan Crews), but his bat path is fairly grooved, and here the projection is that when the cement dries on Lawlars hit tool, it will be a little south of average. -- $325,000Daniel Gaitor, OF, Bah. He plays with the high center of gravity more typical of an outfielder, and has a hard time flipping his hips to make fundamentally typical throws if hes had to range left to field a groundball. Nelson spent most of his college career in the bullpen showing huge stuff, fringe command, and repertoire depth that led to optimism surrounding his development as a starter. On defense, he shows plus potential because of his soft hands, blocking ability and receiving skills. His fastball now sits 95-99 mph, up seven ticks from his college days, and while it currently relies heavily on its velocity rather than its below-average shape, a scout we spoke with was optimistic regarding the 22-year-olds ability to continue to improve the offering, singing Graceffos praises when it comes to his work ethic. To say he looks like a steal is a drastic understatement at this point, as he is one of the most exciting young hitters in the minors, with elite power potential and superlative on-paper performance at Double-A throughout 2022, all while he was still not old enough to have a beer. He also shows good footwork with soft hands and above-average range. 1 or 2 starter. The Orioles selected Ortiz in the fourth round based largely on his defensive prowess, and he has lived up to those expectations while exceeding them on the offensive side. Theres an All-Star-caliber hit and power combination here, and while a bigger pro data sample might reveal some approach-related issues, Johnson has been one of the best hitters his age for going on a half decade and feels like a relatively high-probability high school hitting prospect. His desert lethargy was understandable, but its still the most recent thing the industry has seen. But since the bust rate is so high, its advisable to take your shots deep in your drafts when the notable college and high school players are off the board. It ends Dec. 15, 2023. Once I have a fairly complete picture of the players set to garner meaningful bonuses, I start to make more scouting and evaluation-centric calls and inquiries to augment the initial, bonus-based list. Hes now a bounce back prospect. Having started 2022 with the Yankees Triple-A affiliate, Wesneski was shipped to Chicago as part of the Scott Effross trade. William Jr. is a well-rounded player who MLB.com says has been "praised for his baseball IQ " and has "solid bat-to-ball skills and an advanced approach and understanding of the strike zone." Cleveland added him to their 40-man toward the end of last year but never optioned him, which means he still has three option years left for those defensive skills to percolate. Felix Morrobel, SS, D.R. Romo has a plus glove and plus-plus arm but likely wont make a huge offensive impact. -- $600,000Joan Gutierrez, SS, Ven. The curve features similar movement with longer break and both are nasty when he runs them off the plate glove side, though both play in the strike zone, as well. He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. Ramos often pulls off pitches on the outer edge and swings inside ones hed ideally either contact or spoil. Jonathan Mejia, SS, Venezuela Cardinals More 15. Well likely learn more about that as he gains experience against upper-level pitchers, and this specific issue is the most concerning thing about Ramos profile, as it might require a significant adjustment on his part to avoid having a hole in his swing out there. There are plenty of outstanding dynasty managers. -- $600,000Hector Liriano, OF, D.R. In 2022, it garnered just 8% whiffs and 13% chase during his time at Double-A, where he spent most of the season. Drafted out of Wayne State, a Division-II school in Michigan, Browns arm strength and velocity have been sculpted to replicate the power-pitching formula in Houston. And I was convinced I had discovered the secret to uncovering superstar talent before being seen as such. If theres a real long-term concern that has become evident as a result of Yorkes year, its that he seems injury prone and has now had several disruptive maladies in the last couple of years. However, this type of swing also makes it tough to scoop underneath low pitches. Just be honest with yourself about the risk involved. Luis Morales, RHP, CubaThe right-hander is one of the most interesting and dynamic prospects in the class. His slider execution is especially consistent, though his curveball has the more visually pleasing movement. Only 37 of the 112 ranked players here are pitchers. If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. To an extent, each of those things is still true. He must turn 16 before he signs and be 17 before Sept. 1 the following year -- in practical terms, that means players born between Sept. 1, 2004, and Aug. 31, 2005, will be eligible to sign in the upcoming signing period. His strikeout rate improved upon promotion to Triple-A, albeit in a smaller sample. Baty has also consistently been a high groundball rate hitter, at least 51% at every full-season level until his 42% mark with Double-A Binghamton in 2022, where he spent the bulk of the year. While this might contribute to some of his in-zone and overall swing-and-miss rates (he posted a 77% Z-contact% and 72% overall contact% in 2022, both comfortably below the big league average), Henderson shows plenty of hitterish traits that instill confidence in his 2022 output. His 2022 throwing was not quite as good as previous notes indicate, with lots of one-hoppers to the bag or throws sailing on him, though Naylors pop times remain close to average. By virtue of this precision, he might have peak years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley. It can be prudent to limit the risk and wait until the top names are off the board. We think it's important to note, while these are based on live looks and discussion with team scouts and industry executives, it is awfully early. 3 prospect in the class There are 13 prospects from Venezuela, two from the Bahamas and one each from Cuba, Mexico and Korea. Rangers land Pablo Guerrero, brother of Vlad Jr. MLB Pipeline's Top 50 International Prospects. Vargas has great feel for contact and enough power to profile as an everyday left fielder or second baseman, with the latter looking more likely for now given the Dodgers roster situation. The floor here is XL Freddy Galvis with worse defense, but there will be some peak seasons where more of the power plays and he produces like a star. Peraza seems to realize this and tends to let strikes in the lower third of the zone go by until he absolutely has to swing at them. : Nationals+ ($1,300,000) More 47. Its comforting that there are contemporary examples of hitters making a huge impact who share Chourios potential blemish, ones who make that impact despite all the ponchados by getting to big power. Baseball America (@BaseballAmerica) January 15, 2022. Even if sliders are a chronic issue for Davis, hell likely still get to enough power to produce better than the average everyday catcher. : Mariners ($4,700,000) More 3. Powerful and explosive, the exciting Caminero was among the DSLs home run leaders in 2021 before coming over from Cleveland in a 40-man roster deadline trade for pitcher Tobias Myers that offseason. Hes still risky as a prospect but has big upside. The draft covers players born in the United States, Canada, and Puerto. We know so much more about the high school and college players. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. March 1, 2023. His swing is designed for power; it has a bit of a loop and a steep plane to it, enabling him to crush mistakes to left and center field. Athletic, 6-foot-6 outfielders who can rotate like Alcantara can are rare. Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. That caveat extends to his defense, where Luciano continues to look miscast as a shortstop. It seemed plausible he might eventually grow into meaningful power, too. The signing period closes Dec. 15. : Mariners ($600,000) More 43. Lesko hasnt thrown a pro pitch yet due to TJ rehab, but his changeup and pre-injury velocity and fastball playability demand he be one here toward the back. Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. by Retrosheet. Fantasy Update: 2021 Re-Draft Top 25/Dynasty Top 200. For these prospects, it is their first step in professional baseball. Espino looked like a front-end arm early in 2022, then missed most of the season with knee and shoulder issues, the latter of which (dabs tear ducts) bled into 2023. The offensive package, even with a bat-to-ball blemish (for now), is still befitting of a star-level talent at shortstop or third base, wherever Henderson ends up playing. The consensus No. Oscar Colas, OF, Cuba White Sox ($2,700,000) More 6. As always, the FV grade is a more important measure for readers to focus on than the ordinal rankings here. As explosive as most of his body is, Veens hands are not, and he tends to be long into the hitting zone. Yes, hes reached Triple-A, but this is a 21-year-old were talking about here. His slider tunnels better with the four-seamer, but its whiff and chase rates have been more pedestrian. He began the 2022 slate on a delay and rehabbed in extended spring training until the very end of April. His patient approach and bat-to-ball skills from both sides of the plate inspire confidence in his ability to eventually become a reliable starter. Rece was a member of the 2017 USA Baseball 17 and under national team. Jaison Chourio, OF, Venezuela Guardians ($1,200,000) More 21. There Painter showed more refinement, incorporating a handful of changeups into his outings and displaying an ability to vary breaking ball shape in different situations. RHP Jarlin Susana, Dominican Republic: Susana is the consensus No. Hes also adept at positioning his body to be ready to throw as he fields the baseball, his transfer is quick, and his internal clock is well-calibrated. Andruw Jones won 10 gold gloves with the Braves as he became arguably the greatest defensive center fielder of all time. While his ball/strike recognition isnt good, Tovar is otherwise an advanced hitter. Whichever lucky team gets that selection will be getting a player with plus tools across the board. According to a source, he was one of just three 18-year-old hitters to have an average exit velocity of 88 mph or higher in 2022, and Chourio played at least one level ahead of the other two (Red Sox outfielder Miguel Bleis and Astros prospect Luis Baez) for the entire season, and two and three levels ahead late in the year when he had a pot of High-A coffee and a shot of espresso at Double-A Biloxi. Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. It seemed as though he had potential landing spots in the 2022 drafts top 10 picks, but he ended up parachuting to 18, and signing for an over-slot $5 million. A draft likely wont address all of the abuses of the current system, but it should curtail the practice of teams and 14-year-olds coming to multi-million-dollar agreements. A decade ago, players with no professional experience were not considered viable draft picks, even in most deeper settings. He was a coveted prospect as a prep player, but his strong commitment to Cal Poly, where his dad coaches, and some general concerns about his physical longevity due to a back issue pushed the industrys assessment of him down, so he went to school. Henderson is a viable shortstop defender (for now) who has plus-plus plate discipline and power. He still needs to find a position, though. Hes now a career .303/.394/.533 hitter and has had meaningful statistical success up through Double-A, where he spent about a month toward the end of 2022. By the end of the year he was late on any sort of real velocity, struggling to get on top of fastballs up and away from him, and spraying most of his contact down the third base line, unable to turn on much of anything. Last years class had a consensus Big 3 at the top in Wilman Diaz, Christian Hernandez, and Carlos Colmenarez. As a fourth-year junior in 2021, he was still sitting 88-92 mph, with his fastball velocity sometimes drifting as low as 86 mph in a given start. His first step can be a little delayed, but Jones huge strides eat up tons of ground in the outfield, and he gallivants into the gaps, robs would-be doubles, and has a runner-sniping arm. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. He doesnt have to be put on the 40-man until after the 2024 season, but the rate at which he has been promoted so far indicates hell be in the mix for a rotation spot sooner than that. Its possible some of this is simply the growing pains of a teenage pitcher, and its also possible that this is what Jones stuff will be under the stress of a pro seasons worth of innings. The Rangers took him 50th overall and he signed for $1.25 million. Berry has no position but raked in college, including after he left hitter-friendly Tucson and faced SEC arms. His actions are lightning quick, but his range, ability to bend, the suredeness of his hands, and his arm accuracy all look less consistent. Wiemer has a rare size/athleticism combination and wields an elaborate swing that produces huge pull-side power. Hes added a hard slider/cutter to his amazing-looking curveball, but his fastball still doesnt miss bats and his report reads like Aaron Sanchezs did. He may just be a DH, which would obviously make it tougher for him to profile, but there may be elite on-base ability here and that plus the power might be enough for Julien to make an impact that way, too. He has enough raw power to do damage to all-fields and Paradas feel to hit weaponizes it, as he often hits the ball where its pitched, driving stuff on the outer edge to right field, pulling pitches on the inner third, and spraying everything in between. He also dealt with an eye condition that would later require surgery to strengthen the collagen fibers within his cornea, surgery he had in 2020 while he also reworked his mechanics. Montgomery did not look good at shortstop during that stretch, falling short of the positions high bar in most facets (range, hands, arm strength). In contrast, his 2022 was a tough-luck grind, as Yorke hit just .232 at Greeneville and dealt with myriad injuries, including turf toe, back stiffness, and wrist soreness that reared its ugly, uh, wrist during the regular season and again when he went to Arizona to pick up reps in the Fall League. Hes also worked to make himself more lithe and athletic since first arriving on the Dodgers backfields shortly after he signed, when Dodgers coaches were asking a fresh-faced Vargas to make mid-game swing-changes that incorporated more movement into his conservative cut. Hes a good hitter who will stabilize an infield spot in Cincinnati for the next half decade or so. From the left side of the plate, Rodriguez has an exceptional ability to rip his hands through pitches on the inner edge of the zone. Scouts were blown away by his power and speed, but swing-and-miss issues were a concern. His frame makes him pretty likely to slow down with age, but as he fills out hell probably grow into elite raw power. A plus athlete, Neto does some acrobatic things at shortstop and when he puts his whole body into a throw, he appears to have plenty of arm for the left side. On last look, it was stuff that profiled in the middle of a contending teams rotation, rather than at the very front. He must turn 16 before he signs and be 17 before Sept. 1 the following year -- in practical terms, that means players born between Sept. 1, 2005, and Aug. 31, 2006, will be eligible to sign in the upcoming signing period. Jeter Martinez, RHP, Mex. Jarlin Susana, RHP, Dominican Republic Padres ($1,700,000) More 32. Domnguez also wasnt seen facing live pitching very much as an amateur, so while his showcase tools were evident, there wasnt as much confidence in his hit tool as is typical of a top-of-the-class prospect. Its tough to be a 2-WAR DH every year (Bryce Harpers 2022 100-game line was good for 2 WAR), but Busch has the hit/power combination to do it. Still, Mauricio owns a 40% chase rate and has a career .300 OBP in the minors. He made six appearances with the big league squad (four of them starts) for a total of 33 innings and lasted at least five frames in all but one of them (his only shorter appearance was in relief, and he pitched the final 3.2 innings of the game). ), and this is true of Cartaya in most underlying statistical categories and proprietary stats that attempt to measure power output objectively. The risk and long developmental timeline for high school pitchers, let alone injured ones, typically keeps them from sniffing the top 100 in all but a few cases. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising. The Padres pitching development track record isnt great and perhaps theyre not the team best suited to coax a great breaking ball out of Lesko, but as long as his stuff is the same coming off of TJ, hes already in position to project as a 50. The Rays stole Mead from the Phillies in what seemed like a relatively innocuous trade at the time, a swap that sent a low-level developmental sleeper (Mead) to Tampa for depth starter Cristopher Snchez. We held our Dynasty Draft 16 Team OBP TB R SB RBI TB. Tiedemann has shifted toward the first base side of the rubber and has closed off his stride direction slightly, which creates additional deception in his already-funky low-slot lefty delivery. Henry Ramos, OF, Dominican Republic Royals ($797,500) More 46. The base signing pool for the Angels, Astros, Athletics, Braves, Cubs, Giants, Mariners, Mets, Nationals, Phillies, Rangers, Red Sox, White Sox and Yankees is $5,179,700. It can take him a while to get to the ground and even when he does, he tends to give up long rebounds that allow runners to advance anyway. Scouting and comparing international players tools and athleticism to those of recent and upcoming domestic amateurs helps me to triangulate approximately where theyd go in a given draft, and assign them a FV based on that approximation.